By M. Alex Johnson, NBC News Republicans need to capture as few as three or four seats to gain control of the Senate, but the final polling math indicates that self-inflicted wounds by two Republican candidates could leave them short on Tuesday. Republicans are expected to keep control of the House, but the Senate is harder to predict. NBC's Kelly O'Donnell reports. Democrats control 53 seats in the current Senate (that number includes two independents, Joe Lieberman of Connecticut and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who caucus and generally vote with them); Republicans hold 47. If Mitt Romney wins the presidential election, they would need only a 50-50 tie to seize effective control, because Republican Vice President Paul Ryan would be the tiebreaking vote. As recently as August, the Republicans looked like a legitimate bet to do it, running virtually dead-even in races for five Democratic-held seats. But then Rep. Todd Akin, the Republican nominee in Missouri, made comments in a TV interview about abortion that many in both parties found extreme, suggesting that women's bodies could "shut down" a pregnancy that was the result of a "legitimate rape." Akin's remarks focused national attention -- and money — on his challenge to Sen. Claire McCaskill, who'd been considered among the most endangered Democratic incumbents. Now, the last round of tracking polls through the weekend indicates that McCaskill went into Election Day leading by an average of 6 percent. See detailed election results for this race A similar controversy last month put a Republican seat in danger. On Oct. 23, Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock — who defeated longtime Republican Sen. Richard Lugar in the GOP primary — said in a debate that he believed that pregnancies resulting from rape were a "gift from God" and shouldn't be terminated. Mourdock had previously had a comfortable lead over Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly, but the latest round of polling showed Donnelly with a slim 3 percent margin. See detailed election results for this race Five other races are also razor-close. Democrats held a small lead in the polls in three of them, a Republican had a narrow edge in one, and one was considered a dead heat: View complete Senate election results Massachusetts Virginia North Dakota Nevada Montana Maine |
11/06/2012
Democrats maintain control of Senate
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